Assad
signed a protocol for allowing Arab observers to enter the country even as his
killing machine continued its operations. The move was not a concession, but
another stalling tactic. Assad was just granted several weeks of respite in
which he can do pretty much what he wants, knowing that nothing will take place
in the meantime on the regional or international scene to hurt him. Thanks Arab
League!
Monday 19, 2011
Today’s death toll: 114. The Breakdown:
80 defectors, 72 in the town of Kinsafrah in Idlib Province, and 8 in Hassakeh
Province. 34 were killed in ongoing crackdown against protesters in Deir Ezzor,
Idlib, Deraa/Hauran and Damascus City. All defectors were killed as they tried
to desert their units and join the protesters.
Meanwhile, protest communities continue observing the general
strike for a 10th consecutive day.
Links
Peter Harling
(International Crisis Group), Le Figaro | 13 Dec 2011
The original
conclusion in French: “Une résolution onusienne excluant toute
option militaire, appelant toutes les parties à cessez le feu et stipulant le
déploiement d'observateurs arabes, occidentaux, russes et chinois, pourrait
être le meilleur moyen d'obtenir un consensus international auquel le régime
serait sensible, et d'assurer une protection des civils sur le terrain.”
Translation: “A UN resolution rejecting
any military option, calling on all parties to observe a ceasefire and requiring
the deployment of Arab, Western, Russian and Chinese observes could be the best
way to achieve an international consensus that the regime cannot ignore, thus
ensuring the protection of civilians on the ground.”
My Comment: But will the outcome be
regime change? Can the U.S. and E.U get the Chinese and Russians to endorse
such an outcome? If not, then the protesters will not be part of the consensus.
We don’t want to hold peace talks with the Assads, we want them out. We need to
treat the real causes of suffering in Syria, not continue to get mired in
managing their effects.
POMED Report: Breaking
the Stalemate in Syria (PDF)
On SNC: “With its leadership comprised
heavily of Islamists and exile figures, the SNC has been criticized as
disconnected from activists on the ground and unrepresentative of Syria’s
diverse sectarian makeup.”
On U.S. policy: “Had the United States supported
the Syrian protests from the outset, when Assad was taken off-guard and unsure
of how to respond, policies of isolation, sanction, and public support would
have been more effective.”
Observe the handiwork of Assad’s
snipers in all its glory/gory in Homs City http://youtu.be/YmoAsIwGQaQ
The Protocol
Let’s make
things clear. The signing of the protocol to allow “international” monitors
into the country is a major boost to Assad and a major setback for the
revolution. It’s not a concession, but a reward. The signing will give Assad
few more weeks during which he can continue to kill with impunity. The fact
that the signing of the protocol coincided with the bloodiest day in weeks
simply underscores the point.
The
mission of the monitors is scheduled to last for a whole month, and already
Assad’s Foreign Minister has warned the lucky group that they will be targeted
by armed gangs. More importantly, should the Assads succeed in seeding the
group with monitors from Algeria, Sudan, Iraq and Lebanon, as some expect them
to, then we can all expect a highly conflicted report to emerge in a month time
that will reflect the ideological divides within the Arab League. The AL can
then be relied upon, as always, to find new ways to stall, dither and waste
time. Meanwhile, the killing will continue, and the situation on the ground
will worsen.
This is
not a protocol over sending monitors, but a new lease on life. Assad’s FM said
that Assad’s decision to sign the protocol came in response to Russian advice.
He was probably referring to the Russian Mafia.
The Conference
The Syrian
National Council concluded its meeting in Tunis by holding a press conference
and reading a statement that consigned it to further irrelevance. The statement
hit all the right notes, from vowing commitment to minority rights and support
to the Free Syrian Army to calling for the protection of civilians through the
establishment of buffer zones and safe zones.
But the
problem with the Council remains the same: its leaders, their squabbles, their
ideological predilections, their arrogance, especially when dealing with
minorities, not mention other opposition groups, their lack of transparency and
their complete disregard to popular sentiments.
SNC
leaders had a mission at this stage of healing rifts within the Syrian opposition
whose internecine disputes had long spilled over into the ranks of the
protesters and is seriously undermining the work of local coordination
committees and councils. But SNC leaders have not just fail to rise up to
expectations, they have even failed to acknowledge the mission. It’s as though
they are fighting for a different cause. Perhaps they are.
The international
community is free to legitimize and recognize who and what it wants, but so are
the protesters. Meanwhile, the rift separating the revolutionaries from their
self-appointed spokesmen and leaders, and that separating them from the rest of
the world continue to grow.
The War
The FSA: Spokesman for the Free
Syrian Army inside Syria issues statement saying that Col. Riyad Al-Ass’aad has
been promoted to Major General and that he remains the head of the FSA http://youtu.be/5I4O7aGHGzY The move
came in response to the defection of a number of colonels over the last few
weeks.
By promoting Col.
Al-Ass’aad, and skipping the rank of Brigadier General, Al-Ass’aad was made the
highest ranking officer and allowed to retain control of the FSA. The move
seems to reflect an internal agreement rather than squabble between the various
colonels and officers. Meanwhile, operations by units affiliated with the FSA
continue to take place: this clip purports to show the storming of a local
security headquarters in Homs City by FSA members http://youtu.be/-LUuPHufM44
Damascus: A protest in Midan
District over the killing of a female student yesterday and the wounding of
a little girl was attended by thousands http://youtu.be/iR0S53i9uoE
, http://youtu.be/j-Y8xjax8bA , http://youtu.be/gZ8EANnSRWQ Loyalists
opened fire at protesters killing three http://youtu.be/kRRz10mInEo
The regime also organized a loyalist demonstration in the nearby Seven
Fountains Square.
The protesters tried to
regroup and stand up to the protesters, but loyalists kept firing into the
crowd http://youtu.be/TtTe92Du1Dc , http://youtu.be/0ok7HAV-xJI , http://youtu.be/KnEbVDBrPnI Many were
wounded http://youtu.be/Dt5DEduV5cA ,
http://youtu.be/yULhUXhqK2A People in
passing cars were also shot at http://youtu.be/p3pX8urD1lQ
Earlier, over 10,000 protesters took part in the funeral, chanting for freedom,
for the dignity and for the FSA http://youtu.be/QqMG33kqxV4
Protesters also called for the execution of Assad http://youtu.be/y8M90D-bzx8 The event
was streamed live via ustream. Perople streamed out of the local mosques
following Noon Prayers and marched down the narrow alleyways to get to the
funeral http://youtu.be/MC9yYNYLm8k ,
http://youtu.be/NSol_1FQM28
One of today’s martyrs http://youtu.be/xX3PTMhJpKg Another
being carried away by colleagues http://youtu.be/dojTI3UaNo8
One protester shows off his shrapnel wounds http://youtu.be/PiNo3CRhnYI
Note: earlier reports
indicated that 2 girls were killed, one of them being a 9-year old. We now know
that the little girl survived.
In Suburban and Rural
Damascus, security patrols stand outside schools (high school, junior high
and even primary schools) to prevent students from demonstrating after school,
or on their way there in the morning http://youtu.be/nK5yuSq2zpY
Patrols are omnipresent in many protest communities as well, as is the case in Harasta
http://youtu.be/mHGsAJ_6KLU
Aleppo:
A major demonstration took place in Salaheddine Neighborhood in central Aleppo
City http://youtu.be/peQbYfFwAdM
, http://youtu.be/Zpw_mBhIl60
Protester called for the execution of Assad. Earlier in the day, students in
the University of Aleppo organize their own demonstration in a sign of
continued defiance http://youtu.be/EUqybWktXmw
There were many arrests http://youtu.be/hRxhefSJEJk
Still, other protesters hoisted the independence flag on top of the Aleppo
Citadel, smack in the City’s center http://youtu.be/-eqwD8IzxSs
Deir Ezzor:
loyalists invaded the town of Qraya and the city of Deir Ezzor itself, clashing
with local defectors affiliated with the FSA and their supporters: Qraya
(also pronounced Qouriyah) http://youtu.be/UUKmPOS2Fo4 Even as they bury their dead, people get fire on http://youtu.be/9FZSAQIbzp0
Hama:
loyalists keep digging trenches around the different neighborhoods in Hama
City to further isolate them from each other http://youtu.be/RxwYmClSdpE Patrols and
checkpoints are all over the place http://youtu.be/g3YGQUVGqL8
, http://youtu.be/TtvPXG3GV6M Loyalists
stationed in the town of Kafrenboudeh http://youtu.be/ALEHH42JfiQ
Idlib:
a funeral in Idlib City http://youtu.be/9IPdypyesUo
More and more people in Jabal Al-Zawiyeh region are fleeing to live in
the wilderness as loyalist troops carry out sweep operations of their towns and
villages http://youtu.be/fbPstVN3GXw
The shelling of Saraqib
http://youtu.be/gLBBGtFVxHI Tanks
advance into town http://youtu.be/EsJ5je9WlXE
Many were seriously wounded http://youtu.be/YjZ6FtECdSI
, http://youtu.be/xdqbPWzRLFU
Homs City:
A victim of a sniper attack in Khalid Bin Al-Waleed Street http://youtu.be/YmoAsIwGQaQ A martyr from
Bayadah http://youtu.be/h-ZxCtqL-U0
A martyr from Jib Al-Jandali http://youtu.be/DF2JHhXWSbc
In Bab Al-Sibaa, loyalists destroy the local electric generator to stop the
nighttime protest http://youtu.be/k4VscweztX8
The neighborhood of Karm
Al-Zeitun comes under fire http://youtu.be/E9jvNe18S6g
Khaldiyeh comes under fire at night http://youtu.be/C98r8XSA5Ko
Wa’er comes under fire at night http://youtu.be/DMlnBy8LXaQ
Homs Province: Qseir: homes that were destroyed in the shelling http://youtu.be/AQn7f24SGPE Qseir offers
a new martyr http://youtu.be/KEa6ZcZMKYY
and holds a new funeral http://youtu.be/SS6w1X8nJmc
The inhabitants of Tadmor/Palmyra
bury their dead http://youtu.be/W4MFHaTSBmU
, http://youtu.be/NQ6v2Ezh2Jg , http://youtu.be/E3Ms0K0-IL8
Ghanto holds a funeral http://youtu.be/RS0ZuYyMj5A Houleh
is shelled http://youtu.be/kTm1xyvtW2Y
Wounded in Talbisseh
http://youtu.be/Qa70hk4az1E a martyr
from Talbisseh http://youtu.be/Q7d9_yzF05s
Earlier in the day, locals stages a protest http://youtu.be/7QM0Zgrq9_4
Deraa/Hauran: Ataman offers a martyr http://youtu.be/jf-MbgIIo3I Loyalists
carry out a sweep operations in the town of Basr Al-Harir http://youtu.be/7CsNmsKbG0k the tanks http://youtu.be/7hFTBCeunkQ But in a
different part of town, people still took to the street to celebrate their
martyrs http://youtu.be/M8Jh1KZH95A
Tanks carry out a quick
foray into the town of Hraak http://youtu.be/0SYmSSzhezQ
Convoys of loyalist militias take part in the operation http://youtu.be/4uj95V3knCg Similar
operations take place in Khirbet Ghazaleh http://youtu.be/vEzRonLjI3k Armored
vehicles enter the town of Zeizoon http://youtu.be/a8u6BSdUOzM
Protesters in Ghabaghib
come under fire, two children were hit http://youtu.be/GzKeliVZFEM
Treating the wounded http://youtu.be/qBb29q1BKeM
Demonstrations
HOMS CITY: Bab Houd http://youtu.be/3qKSjC5frw0 Bab
Al-Sibaa http://youtu.be/dRDEklC2GI8
, http://youtu.be/XTD-IBGvBXg Insha’aat
http://youtu.be/crGv7Rwn3eE , http://youtu.be/n3uQ6747lns Nighttime http://youtu.be/HzWM85GnDmY Bayadah
http://youtu.be/a1bhJ1i_c5Y Ghoutah
http://youtu.be/71qLPdaUeoc Shammas
http://youtu.be/MranqgKAmKM , http://youtu.be/rin8ZRXVDig Qoussour
http://youtu.be/04cc9_1lIWA , http://youtu.be/tuF3eRrt7Ss Wa’er
http://youtu.be/_Zr6hbJC6w4 Baba
Amr http://youtu.be/P3bhO-HQQ0A ,
http://youtu.be/jHjCXyzBELM Deir
Baalbah http://youtu.be/xAWDAKjcMzA
Khaldiyeh http://youtu.be/kSLVXAb-i0o
, http://youtu.be/5UQ2HNzmhDw Jouret
Al-Shayah http://youtu.be/pN7jSkxU_CM
HOMS PROVINCE: Houleh http://youtu.be/t1DVzZ6YjMg , http://youtu.be/FnO1y7zl2K4 Tadmor
(Palmyra) http://youtu.be/xwrBlLicTT0
DERAA/HAURAN: Um Walad http://youtu.be/eLTZZIMeVvw Sourah
http://youtu.be/DdknqtiV9qU Jizah
http://youtu.be/oPSDUAhrKR0 Deraa
City http://youtu.be/AGtf-wL2GRk Tseel
http://youtu.be/tFpyGRVBxu4
DAMASCUS CITY: Hajar Al-Aswad http://youtu.be/fAfJeZ2angg Qadam
http://youtu.be/zsF7C7XS7V4
SUBURBAN & RURAL DAMASCUS: Harasta http://youtu.be/ujCVe1-QFzA , http://youtu.be/oEus2gMSoR4 Zamalka
http://youtu.be/FPI3DO6CPA8 People
use fireworks http://youtu.be/PVbHtm9qHDY
Hamouriyeh http://youtu.be/XB0cnF_G0jk
Douma http://youtu.be/d8R0qAVVGdo
Wadi Barada http://youtu.be/4Y8Z43vDG9o
Madaya http://youtu.be/HJOmerKnlRw
Artouz http://youtu.be/RFi2EgG4VMw
Zabadani http://youtu.be/BbzFgbcH0UY
, http://youtu.be/ds__VcVNzyM Daraya
http://youtu.be/GU5gVuJJAgw Yabroud
http://youtu.be/_Gm48Qqpi7M
HAMA: Hilfaya http://youtu.be/TFFD2muT2oc Sauran
http://youtu.be/jVWXCWimzF4 Taybat
Al-Imam http://youtu.be/kazaRKsOTqg
Khattab http://youtu.be/MWhoO8KyJHk
Hama City (Hamidiyeh) http://youtu.be/q4sSg3to_Ak
, http://youtu.be/n2kDDkVmi2w (Bab
Qibli) http://youtu.be/CWdlfdH3_lM (South
Stadium) http://youtu.be/G-Df-wWG_GU (Fraya)
http://youtu.be/b8DgcNpGuro
IDLIB: Ma’arrat Al-Nouman
http://youtu.be/B8DWmrGkzag Kafroumah
http://youtu.be/V1XKn1oW65g Jisr
Ashoughour/Kastan http://youtu.be/J7P-zhHlYo4
Idlib City http://youtu.be/C3XdUeuxphI
Binnish http://youtu.be/kMDas0CRvIo
ALEPPO: Elbab http://youtu.be/gvuR2V0M-EY Atarib
http://youtu.be/Nyof0tb2q20 , http://youtu.be/AZb3cQ3lMtA Anadan
http://youtu.be/Z5yHaGcGi0Y Turkmen
Bareh http://youtu.be/JXRq7ccJWyQ
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