You
don’t need to read tea leaves in order to figure out the writing on the wall or
make sense of what’s going in Syria. An open mind would suffice.
Sunday 18, 2011
Today’s death toll: 24. The Breakdown: 12
in Homs, 7 in Idlib, 2 in Deir Ezzor, 2 in Damascus city and 1 in Deraa.
Reports from different sources inside Syria claim that 21
mid-level officers are scheduled for execution tomorrow for defecting and/or
attempting to defect.
Syrian-American Blogger Razan Ghazzawi has been freed.
Links
"What difference can the SNC make if it gets international
recognition and loses its legitimacy among the protesters? And what difference
can the FSA make, if it fails to get all the emerging paramilitary groups to
accept the authority of its Military Council and its leader?" Ammar Abdulhamid,
a U.S.-based Syrian dissident who has been critical of the SNC said recently.
Abdulhamid has criticized the SNC's "lack of transparency" and
claimed that several independent Syrians who wanted to attend the conference in
Tunisia "as monitors" were not allowed in. "So long as SNC
leaders remain more preoccupied with winning international recognition than
they are with internal cohesion or outreach to their own people, they are
destined to become as irrelevant and cut-off from realities as Assad is today,"
he said.
A reminder of what’s at stake in the
Syrian Revolution (Hama City)
A girl (you’ll
have to take our word for it) http://youtu.be/WKpZKzJo2Ec
Message to the SNC
As members of the Syrian National Council conclude their
meeting in Tunis, the protesters in Deir Baalbah Neighborhood in Homs
give them an ultimatum: their final statement better reflect the demands of the
revolution, or they will start carrying banners saying “the SNC does not
represent me” http://youtu.be/wtVYvMbSfjo
The speaker in the clip reminds opposition members that for 40 years they have
not been able to raise their voice, but now they are speaking freely, thanks to
the bravery of the children of Deraa, whose anti-regime graffiti sparked the
revolution.
But let me take this opportunity to send my own message
to SNC leaders:
- Because the international community is not willing to intervene at this stage,
- Because the situation on the ground is getting more and more tragic by the day,
- Because the criminals involved for the current situation, as the recent Human Right Watch report shows, is a virtual “who’s who among Assad’s security and military officers, and…
- Because military, security and political defector can be counted on the fingers of one hand,
It’s about
time we realized that ours is a longer term struggle and we started planning
and strategizing accordingly. Any group that wants to truly represent and lead
the revolution down the road should arrange its priorities in the right manner:
Getting
international recognition at this stage is not as important as consolidating
our base of support and legitimacy on the ground. For this, our discourse and
our actions need to be carefully modulated so as to garner popular support and
respect. We all also need to find ways to support protest communities and the
local resistance, especially the armed resistance. Some in the international
community may not like it, but armed resistance has become a fact on the
ground, even if it is still in its infancy. No political group aspiring to lead
the revolution and the transitional period beyond can afford to let armed
resistance take place outside its purview and its controls. A political group
that has no real control over armed resistance cannot hold the country together
in that most critical period of transition that lies ahead. As such, we are not
just talking about creating the façade of control, but the reality of it. SNC
leaders have excelled in creating façades but not realities. That’s good for
them, but it is not good for the country.
There are
a lot of people in the SNC and outside of it who don’t believe in armed
resistance, be that as it may, it’s not their job to stifle or suffocate it,
because this will undermine the morals of those protest communities who have now
thrown their full support behind it. The revolution itself will be hurt by
that. The only thing that can be done at this stage is to support the different
movements on the ground and adopt the demands of the revolutionaries as they
are, regardless of what the international community has to say. Only when we
have established enough credibility and legitimacy among the ranks of the
revolutionaries, can we begin to push back on certain issues and advocate
stances that may not be popular, but which are, nonetheless, right, for the
country and the revolution.
Right now,
each time we contradict the revolutionaries, we end up losing credibility. Why?
Because we never had much of it to begin with, after all, we didn’t make the
revolution, the protesters have not taken to the streets because of things we
said or did. The protesters are aware of this fact, and are beginning to remind
us of it, as we can tell from the clip above. Moreover, we have helped undermine
our own credibility over the last months on account of our well-publicized internecine
bickering, which often reflected personal egos and ambitions than any
principled stands.
So, our
priority at this stage should be to get internal recognition, not international
one. When that is truly “in the bag,” international recognition will follow. We
should also remember that the real challenge is not about achieving some sort
of haphazard unity, but about projecting the needed leadership, vision and
representation, it’s about the quality of work, and of who we are.
Religious Split
A group of Damascene women say they are quitting
the famous and unofficial religious network known as the Qoubayssi Movement.
The reason: the negative view espoused by the movement’s founder,
Munirah Al-Qoubayssi vis-à-vis the revolution, especially female
revolutionaries http://youtu.be/SH7N_BawlT8
This movement, which has many followers among members of the commercial elite
in Damascus and Aleppo, and across the middle classes, has been playing a
critical role in in keeping the situation in Aleppo City and Central Damascus
in check. Obviously, this policy is beginning to backfire.
Students Still In
Students in the University of Damascus continue to
express their support for the revolution. This clip shows students holding a
silent sit-in in the College of Electrical Engineering http://youtu.be/nT3QAlshgyU
Sectarian Hatred: the Homsy Debacle
Opposition leader, Mamoun Al-Homsi (despite the name he
is actually from Damascus) made a recorded statement in which he threatened all
Alawites in Syria with getting “wiped out” from the face of earth if they
persisted in supporting Assad and killing Sunnis http://youtu.be/MWLH8HQw_lg He was immediately denounced by all Syrian of
note, and will certainly continue to be condemned over the next few days.
Still, this is an ominous development. For while many Syrians would like to
dismiss Mamoun as a political douche, this douche is a former MP who has over
the years met with many world leaders, including former President George W. Bush
(twice) and the late Vaclav Havel. More importantly, his sentiments are not
exactly unique, but echoes and reinforces popular sentiments across the
country.
For this reason, the opposition needs to do more than
simply condemn such statements. Now more than ever, we need to produce a Draft
National Covenant on basic rights of the Syrian citizen, and we need to propose
different models for the state to show that we can come out with practical
suggestions on how the rights of all different groups, regardless of their
demographic size, will be protected in the new Syria we are trying to build.
None of these things may have an immediate impact on the current battle taking
place in Syrian streets, and Syrian souls, but down the road, they will make
all the difference. We keep saying that Syria is not Libya or Iraq, but so far,
our methods and our discourse are not that different from those that have been
adopted by our colleagues in the Libyan and Iraq opposition.
Incident in Midan
The angry statement by Homsy above came in response to
developments in Midan District in Damascus, where a protest was subject to
intense crackdown leaving two dead: a young woman and a 9-year old baby girl http://youtu.be/HUkMMurxGlw . The
situation in the neighborhood is very tense. Funerals are scheduled for
tomorrow, although there are reports that one of the bodies was snatched from
the local hospital by loyalists.
Sweep Operations Continue
Homs
Scenes of devastation in Bab Al-Sibaa Neighborhood
in Homs City http://youtu.be/vv5yS9Mzw6c
Karm Al-Zeitun http://youtu.be/3zhrynOvxFw Targeting
people in cars is a favorite pastime for snipers, as this human brain in the
front seat can attest http://youtu.be/DP9qitwLfpk
And this wounded man from Bayadah Neighborhood http://youtu.be/B5x5ULqwr6s People stuck
at the crossroads due to sniper action http://youtu.be/_Iq8NhujCUM
, http://youtu.be/QvYYwR1wgDM
And martyrs keep falling: Wa’er http://youtu.be/U8qJJ1qnQ-k , http://youtu.be/ZWzG12ZQWbc Khalidyeh
http://youtu.be/MIk_dtfZkFE , http://youtu.be/Y7oeZ-VCEgU , http://youtu.be/5Fw8lN6S6Hc Jib Al-Jandali http://youtu.be/BXaC7DdBwzM
And people keep holding funerals: Qoussour http://youtu.be/Zvo14iso3wc Wa’er
http://youtu.be/bJ9UTFH0828
Still, and with the involvement of actress Fadwa
Sulaiman, who is an Alawite, protest leaders keep sending messages of inclusion
http://youtu.be/IE2417ZiNUU stressing
that their fight is against the Assad Gang, not the Alawite community http://youtu.be/NQ-eXQL_k-w
Homs Province
In the historic city of Tadmor/Palmyra in the
larger Homs Province, loyalists tried to reassert central control today http://youtu.be/qZ4zLr_ywRw And martyrs fell http://youtu.be/UmycLw81rtk
A similar development takes place in Qseir http://youtu.be/YsJ9vl3zUC0 And the town offers more martyrs http://youtu.be/SWl4hXIp_ls , http://youtu.be/znQ3rCQrpsw and holds more funerals with people
shouting “death is better than humiliation” http://youtu.be/Q5ebTfljIrI
In Houleh,
the evacuation of residents from homes that have been shelled http://youtu.be/nfSMen8vRwM Homes on
fire http://youtu.be/guyMg1IJ4HY , http://youtu.be/KKs6b9UpHw4 Martyrs http://youtu.be/zuJHOmyZb7w The pounding
continues http://youtu.be/ebc9dAezs6s
Talbisseh is also dealing with an
renewed invasion by loyalists http://youtu.be/KjTAnN70FXE
, http://youtu.be/jKdQgvg9glA
Ghanto holds a funeral http://youtu.be/Qasf7_BVgBI for this man
http://youtu.be/-Bd5bLBP1Kk
Idlib
Loyalists
storm the town of Khan Shaikhoon http://youtu.be/XNnnS5gDiYA
As the inhabitants of nearby Haass hold a funeral http://youtu.be/WRXfmaaQurU The sounds
of gunfire is mixed with the sounds of traffic in Ma’arrat Al-Nouman http://youtu.be/Wf4h5X4hNeE
Kafrenbel offers more martyrs http://youtu.be/8h_i_oTGjpM , http://youtu.be/nER8QmYjOew and hold new
funerals http://youtu.be/K4pdqQXfC5I
A video
from the operations in Ibleen on December 17 http://youtu.be/uZoM_LIe24Q
Loyalists
break into shops in Jisr Ashoughour in order to disrupt the strike http://youtu.be/pe9DQAzmcHk
A funeral
in Saraqib http://youtu.be/y1NAAOOWdjk
More martyrs fall in Jabal Al-Zawiyeh http://youtu.be/xsk1ynahV6A Another in Idlib
City http://youtu.be/pq3lwQ5IsPY
Hama
Loyalists
move into the town of Kafranboudeh http://youtu.be/8y8fO2mZTyA
Deraa/Hauran
Loyalist
try to force the inhabitants of Sanamein into breaking their strike http://youtu.be/OK1YFb-4PfE , http://youtu.be/BUWNCGoEEo4 And things
get nasty quick http://youtu.be/LKf3-7Xdc8A
, http://youtu.be/m72molRR4UU As
nearby Karak holds a funeral http://youtu.be/AEc7Zem4bVI
Meanwhile, tanks still occupy the streets of Hraak http://youtu.be/F250pk9vKbQ And locals
hold a new funeral http://youtu.be/FI3AFMwU2W0
, http://youtu.be/HPcsQndK6dw
Defectors
form new fighting units in Deraa: Al-Moutassim http://youtu.be/Nqsp-xn5Bz4 The Men of
God http://youtu.be/WvTGi9GJc6s
Damascus
Suburbs
Tanks and
armored vehicles now are being deployed ore frequently in the suburbs of
Damascus, especially in the region of Eastern Ghoutah: Saqba http://youtu.be/hPsMSbeG0qk , http://youtu.be/TkBsfYaM8W8
Douma http://youtu.be/6oDQF4f6tKM
Arbeen http://youtu.be/8jTMwxOthks
In Harasta, nighttime protesters come under fire (mid-clip) but remain
defiant http://youtu.be/7OrAeMPzwpA Meanwhile,
the security headquarters in Qaboun came under attack earlier today,
according to different reports.
Deir
Ezzor
In Deir
Ezzor City, crackdown left several dead http://youtu.be/IYvZetbOPDM Loyalists
carry out a number of drive-by shootings http://youtu.be/ZQgWHsgr6mw
The town
of Jbeileh comes under fire at night http://youtu.be/QMGnc85GPMg
THE STRIKE: Idlib Binnish http://youtu.be/JG1moz6S6yQ Ariha
http://youtu.be/Dznh2dFKI0s Ma’arrat
Al-Nouman http://youtu.be/AfE0lsTKbl0
Taftanaz http://youtu.be/fnriWpzESuU Deraa Sayda
http://youtu.be/CQc2EorLFPE Nasseeb
http://youtu.be/H91eSvyTr-g Khirbet Ghazaleh http://youtu.be/2EHJQW_JldQ Da’el
http://youtu.be/t6HrGRzBgMA Damascus City Barzeh
http://youtu.be/swrjxTbmBOE Midan
http://youtu.be/OgNEUWDR3CU Harasta
http://youtu.be/Cw5PtJtcdDc Douma
http://youtu.be/eAqOzCrTdT4 Wadi
Barada http://youtu.be/-HaT6D59uKM
Aleppo Eizaz http://youtu.be/XOJT50J4IVI Hama Souran http://youtu.be/WPP8LCvW8fg
Demonstrations
HOMS CITY: Khaldiyeh http://youtu.be/uHOwROCXCIo Bab Houd
http://youtu.be/-zxKbFGfuSo Bab
Al-Sibaa http://youtu.be/ksOa_VnRqMc
Qoussour http://youtu.be/B3AEhEVkXfE
Baba Amr http://youtu.be/IplLvcRBTfM
Deir Baalbah http://youtu.be/UJF0mMWQGLc
Insha’aat http://youtu.be/TguSJTDeZ60
Bayadah http://youtu.be/RfCeBd77R1I
Jouret Al-Shayah http://youtu.be/S6mFLG2_Xto
Wa’er http://youtu.be/PmUgbzZee0U
HOMS PROVINCE: Rastan (Izzeddine)
http://youtu.be/w4jWo2b8Xlk Teer
Ma’allah http://youtu.be/3MJvRn2qxpU
Talbisseh http://youtu.be/qecrWyaNdIA
Houleh http://youtu.be/SpuGxGqtDjk
IDLIB: Khan Shaikhoon http://youtu.be/vf9FADCP4As , http://youtu.be/FvE4ASLR4gw Jarjanaz
http://youtu.be/tNq2sZRILiU Kafroumah
http://youtu.be/6-hNCi5XZ6k Ghadfah
http://youtu.be/2aHa7SX8Rmg Elteh
http://youtu.be/yaf7aOsHP2Y Idlib
City http://youtu.be/Cm0jbWpGvoY Binnish
http://youtu.be/0zbtnOuZzYE Ma’arrat
Masreen http://youtu.be/nb_HBvA-9ls
Sarmeen http://youtu.be/S4RL2RRXC1g
DERAA/HAURAN: Um Walad http://youtu.be/ccCyx9wDhig Namar
http://youtu.be/r-ZNoqr_fhk Mseifrah
http://youtu.be/9deW3-VMuKg Da’el
http://youtu.be/F8zaqVIxQ0w Deraa
City http://youtu.be/gNAETNqY-VA Bosra
Al-Sham http://youtu.be/Aoztl7hlJag
Tseel http://youtu.be/gXg9To_h4tU
Jizeh http://youtu.be/N3bIo3pnWFA
SUBURBAN DAMASCUS: Artouz http://youtu.be/OuDTvhmTG6M Douma
http://youtu.be/1bQRogrw1Tg , http://youtu.be/QR6qMQ6vtuA Arbeen
http://youtu.be/DPG0I9TdDGY Kisweh
http://youtu.be/GqCq1Ly9uH0 Zamalka
http://youtu.be/j6VGkOKLNss Harasta
http://youtu.be/kBzJ02f3PEM Ain
Terma http://youtu.be/1eJt0CbHW9g
Hamouriyeh http://youtu.be/uB7lWZ6PWro
DAMASCUS CITY: Qadam http://youtu.be/ac3PeogdpJo Bab
Sreejeh http://youtu.be/r7LTliNjYfw
RURAL DAMASCUS: Zabadani http://youtu.be/ebf6F7FHMm0 Qarrah
http://youtu.be/dZmODJopslg
HAMA: Hama City
(Hamidiyeh) http://youtu.be/t5GccZmwebc
ALEPPO: Anadan http://youtu.be/R12LRWa5dYE Tal Rif’aat
http://youtu.be/hfBFBz-w0zo Hreitan
http://youtu.be/FvLYCeGX_Os Kafar
Nouran http://youtu.be/Kwka6RMMecs
Akhtareen http://youtu.be/2CZzjGLmQx0
DEIR EZZOR: Qrayah http://youtu.be/O3gTVkyzyJ4
HASSAKEH: Amoudeh http://youtu.be/5caPp7yUopU
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